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Recession Watch Update

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on January 22nd, 2020

LPLResearch on its recession watch update: ”…While in later stages of economic expansion, we see little threat of imminent recession.  The current expansion is the longest on record, at 126 months, but the economy has grown at a slow and steady rate.”  Read more.

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  • Financial Insights

What's It All About? For Q4 Earnings season, it’s all about 2020!

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on January 15th, 2020

Fourth quarter earnings season kicked off this week with 24 S&P 500 Index companies slated to report results. Our expectations are for a marginal increase in S&P 500 earnings per share (EPS) on a year-over-year basis, based on current FactSet consensus estimates (-2% year over year) and the average historical upside of roughly 3 percentage points.

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  • Financial Insights
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Nice Way To End the First Week of the New Year!

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on January 3rd, 2020

TGIFryeday! And made all the more festive with a yummy celebration for our birthday girl, Robin!

The Year of the Consumer

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on December 27th, 2019

2019 was the year of the U.S. consumer.

When the year started, trade tensions were heating up and recession calls had grown louder. Many investors saw the end of the business cycle coming as the expansion was on the cusp of becoming the longest on record.

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Our Frye Financial Elves Were Busy This Week…

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on December 27th, 2019

…once again, working to help sweeten the holiday for some boys and girls at the Camillus House.

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  • Frye Happenings

When Timing Really Is Everything

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on December 26th, 2019

Delayed Gratification Pays Off:  The Longer You Wait, The More You Get 

Data from the Social Security Administration shows that 39% of women and 33% of men chose to start collecting at age 62. Just 5% of women and 7% of men waited to age 70.  Barring extenuating circumstances, being part of the majority claiming benefits early can be a very costly mistake.

 

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Profit Growth Key for 2020 Stocks

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on December 23rd, 2019

Now that we have some clarity on U.S.-China trade and Brexit, in 2020 we expect drivers of stock market performance to shift more toward investing fundamentals. We also expect stocks to appreciate in line with earnings.

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Better Days Ahead for Bonds

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on December 16th, 2019

LPL Research sees better days ahead for bonds. 2019 was a baffling year for bonds, but we’ve seen some improvement in long-term yields. Bonds can still play a role in helping to diversify portfolios where appropriate.

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  • Financial Insights
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Ambling Along in 2020

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on December 11th, 2019

U.S. economic growth has slowed in 2019. However, the economy is still growing, and we believe it will continue growing through 2020. As we highlighted in our Outlook 2020: Bringing Markets Into Focus, we’re projecting real GDP growth of 1.75% in 2020, slightly below average for this economic expansion.

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Reasons We Still Believe In December

Submitted by Frye Financial Center on December 5th, 2019

It has been a rough start to the most wonderful month of them all, with the S&P 500 Index down each of the first two days of December. Don’t stop believing just yet, though.

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